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How serious are we about reducing greenhouse gases emissions?
Energy Fair: Alistair Cant Lister Housing, Drummond Community Big Band, Alister Hamilton, Ian Bryden presentationThe Energy Fair on 5th September, a well attended programme of stalls, talks and children's events, was part of the Climate Challenge Fund project we are conducting in two pre 1900 'hard to treat' tenement streets in South Edinburgh to share ideas about energy efficiency. The fair combined practical information on how to be more energy efficient with case studies and talks on energy efficiency. These talks were complemented by exciting new developments in renewable energy.
Professor Ian Bryden gave a very interesting talk about the renewable energy option for future energy supplies, particularly how marine energy will help us meet future requirements.
Alister Hamilton also warned us that after 150 years of oil production we will no longer have easy oil and rising production of oil, but volatile oil prices and production decline. A similar picture emerges for natural gas, said Alister.
It is useful to consider this in the context of a couple of recent reports by the Scottish Government about greenhouse gases emissions and energy generation for 2007. Statistics might well be dry but they can also tell a good story.
The major culprit for greenhouse gases emissions in Scotland (36% of emissions) comes from the energy supply. So, how do we generate our energy and why does it cause so much greenhouse gases emissions?
The main source of the electricity generated in Scotland comes from coal (29%) and gas and oil (26%) with nuclear power at 26%. Renewables accounted for only 18%, with non hydro power renewables accounting for only 7.4%, an increase from 0.6% in 2000.
I will leave you to think through what we urgently need to do now if we are serious about energy security and reducing greenhouse gases emissions..,
Further details about the reports:
- Greenhouse gases emissions in Scotland
Report about the greenhouse gases emissions for 2007. See the link to the report at http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Resource/Doc/283799/0086005.pdf
I was particularly interested in the figures from the AEA detailing the emissions by source, graph on page 6 of the report. These figures demonstrate that 36% of greenhouse gas emissions are from the energy supply
- Energy generation in 2007
Report on high level summary of statistics for the Environment at
http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Resource/Doc/921/0086014.pdf
With energy generation on page 5 of the report
“The main source of electricity generation in 2007 was coal, accounting for 29% of the electricity generated. Over the period 2000 to 2007 electricity generation from gas and oil has remained fairly stable, accounting for 26% of the total electricity generated in 2007. Nuclear power also accounted for 26% of the total electricity generation in 2007.”
Food for thought...
Michele
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Thanks, Alister,
I agree that we will not all be able to chose electricity as an alternative for coal, oil or gas and heat pumps are certainly one of the best alternative available for Scotland, particularly when they are combined with solar panels, for instance. The Sanyo heat pump also seems to be one the best on the market so far and is likely to be suitable for quite a lot of the housing stock in Edinburgh.
I suppose what we will need is a good choice of alternatives and these alternatives will have to be adapted in such a way that they provide the best possible options for different types of households. with the cost reflecting the ability of the householder to invest in these initiatives. One of the main obstacles to choosing home generated renewale energy is that it is often the most costly option at present.
Much as the goverment tells us that we will need to reduce carbon emissions by 80% by 2050, the threat of climate change and the urgent need to reduce carbon emissions feels pretty unreal to most people, certainly not real enough to want to spend two to three times more money that they need to on energy efficiency!
In Edinburgh, we are told, 45% of housing is tenements with 1/4 being pre 1919 tenements. This type of housing is considered 'hard to treat', with a lot of flats leaking heat through doors, windows, lofts, tenement stairs and so on. Conserving and generating energy is hard and often not a cheap option.
A lot of effort are being made at present to provide individual householders with 'bespoke' solutions and also to identify practical communal alternatives. Careful research is also being conducted to identify the most efficient and acceptable solutions for people living in 'hard to treat' properties.
Transition Edinburgh South is currently engaged in a project in two 'hard to treat' tenement streets. With the collaboration from specialists, it is hoped that we be able to contribute to current initiatives to find the best ways to be energy efficient for individual households.
As members of the community ourselves and trying hard to identify the best solutions for our own flats, we are interested in people's views and ideas about their own preferences and also in finding out what they have managed to do so far. We have already found that there are a lot of resources and useful information in our local community and that a lot of expertise from specialists is available free. Both will benefit from being more widely known.
So, if you live in Woodburn Terrace or Hope Park Terrace, where we are conducting our pilot project 'Switched on to Switching off', get in touch with either Michele Hipwell or Mike Hall in Woodburn Terrace or Jamie Auld Smith in Hope Park Terrace. Contact us through the 'get involved' contact form on this website or take note of the letters we have put through your letter box.
Upgrading to a new gas boiler is probably the cheapest thing for you to do. It will be more energy efficient so will probably reduce your emissions by 10-20% and will be cheaper to run than your existing boiler.
But, if the lifetime of your new boiler is 10-20 years, then there may well be issues with the availabiliy of natural gas during its lifetime.
The Chief Executive Officer ot Total SA, the French oil company said last week
“There won’t be enough oil and gas by the middle of the next decade.”
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601072&sid=aTv00Tc4yhSA
So you may have to transition to other fuels before your new boiler reaches the end of its natural lifespan. And, of course, while your CO2 emissions will go down due to improved efficiency, if we consider you as an individual, they will not go down far enough to meet the huge cuts of 80% we need.
If you switch to purely electric heating you will not be so exposed to the security of supply of natural gas. And as the electricity supply becomes decarbonised, so does your heating. So, you could install conventional electric fires and electric storage heaters and heat your water with an electric immersion heater. But if we all go this route, we will need three times as many wind turbines and wave energy or tidal machines to generate the electricity to produce the heat as we would if we used heat pumps. And the demand on our electricity supply is only going to go up because we need to do everything using electricity. Not just lights, appliances and computers, but transport too as oil production declines by 2 million barrels per day every year and heating as natural gas declines.
The Sanyo CO2 Eco system does require a tank. It's about the same size as a fridge freezer. It acts as a buffer or heat store. This is advantageous as it allows you to make use of renewable electricity when it is abundant and demand is low (for example at night) and store the heat for later use. If we have lots of these units installed and they are precharged with heat overnight, it reduces the morning peak demand for electricity as heating systems are switched on and everyone jumps into the shower. Reduced peak demand means less installed generating capacity or more efficiency. The tank also allows you to use solar thermal panels for seasonal water heating to reduce your electricity demand by a further 10% approximately.
The noise figure for this unit is 49 dB. The lowest limit of urban ambient sound is 40dB. Conversation is 60dB. So I think it is fairly quiet and I know the Japanese have made every effort to make these units as quiet as possible. Also, when you are sitting outside, presumably in warm weather, your heating will not be on so there will be little need for the heat pump to be running constantly. And you can always turn it off. If you want peace and quiet and security of supply, go for the conventional electric system. But, if we all go this route, our peace and quiet will be at the cost of someone else's diminished view as more turbines (wind, wave or tidal) will have to be built.
The Sanyo unit is undoubtedly more expensive than other solutions. A householder grant should be available for this system by the end of this year at up to 30% of the installed cost or a maximum of £4,000. A renewable heat incentive is being considered by the government. There is a consultation going on at the moment about this. I suspect that the incentive will take the form of a separate electricity tarrif for heat pumps at a lower cost per unit of electricity reducing running costs. There is also talk of interest free loans for householders. More information should be available early next year as the renewable heat incentive is due to be in place by April 2011.
It might be worth waiting a few months to see what form the incentives from government take. I suspect that the package will have to be very attractive as the only way the government are going to meet their emissions targets is if significant numbers switch to low carbon renewable heating systems.
Hi Michele,
Interesting stuff!
I think what we are seeing in these figures are the first small steps on a very long journey. At least as far as the electricity supply is concerned.
Note that non-hydro renewables increased from 0.6% in 2000 to 7.4% in 2007. A large part of that increase is from the installation of new wind turbines. The figure of 18% of electricity from renewable sources sounds about right for 2007. We're at over 20% now and will be at 31% by 2011 and 50% by 2020.
And, as Ian Bryden explained, there's huge potential in wind and wave not to mention off-shore wind.
Scotland's first off-shore wind farm started producing electricity this week
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/scotland/south_of_scotland/8245857.stm
with an ultimate capacity of 0.18 GW which will displace the emission of 235,000 tonnes of carbon dioxide (CO2). This will take us to over 2 GW of installed wind capacity in Scotland.
So, as far as electricity generation goes, the journey to a low carbon future has started and the pace is picking up.
I think we are serious about cutting carbon dioxide emissions in Scotland, but part of the problem is that people are confused and do not know what to do.
Individuals can make huge cuts in emissions. For example, replacing your old gas boiler with a Sanyo CO2 Eco air source heat pump will cut your CO2 emissions from heating by a whopping 50% as I pointed out in my recent blog. In the case of my house, this would be a reduction of 1.2 tonnes of CO2 per annum.
As a Transition movement, we need to be clear about what the transition is. In my view, it is off fossil fuels for heating and transport in particular and onto increasingly renewable electricity. But we need to use that renewable electricity as efficiently as possible. So we need insulation and draught proofing and low energy light bulbs and switching equipment off etc. But we need to gradually replace the power hungry and inefficient bits of equipment we use to generate low grade heat. We can use heat pumps (using CO2 as a refrigerant because those heat pumps are most efficient in our climate) to reduce the amount of power we use for heating and hot water by two thirds. And heating is our biggest use of energy in the home by far. So out go electric fires, electric immersion heaters, electric storage heaters, electric showers and even gas boilers and in come heat pumps to do the same job but much more efficiently.
Alister.
Thanks, Alister
I knew that you would provide a lot of useful practical information to help us address these issues!
The figures for greenhouse gases emission shown in the government statistics demonstrate that energy is twice as big as any of the other categories. I assume this means that it really must be prioritised.
If we accept the greenhouse gases theory of climate challenge, along with 95 - 98% of scientists, then we must be feeling a sense of urgency at achieving the energy targets set by the Scottish Government.
But.. Case study
I am in the process of modernising my house, including replacing a 25 years old kitchen and a very old boiler, which has never gone wrong since I moved in 20 years ago but consumes a lot of gas! I would certainly consider the Sanyo air source heat pump as a first choice if it didn't have has some disavantages over other alternative like gas condensing boilers (big disadvantage of using GAS) or let say wet electric boilers, which will become OK when we are using even more renewable energy.
1) it requires quite a large tank unit, 2) the heat pump unit would have to be located in my back garden, close to where we sit when we are outside and I am not convinced it is not noisy. I particularly appreciate the peace and quiet of the back garden and wouldn't like to have a noise comparable to a fridge intrude on this, particularly if all my 6 neighbours chose to do the same! The Sanyo manufacturers should think about how to eliminate the noise. 3) it is a lot more expensive that any other alternatives. A serious consideration for most people and certainly for me who is due to retire soon. I cannot affort to invest into something that might require repayment over a long period of time.
So, much as I think this is by far the best alternative, I am unlikely to go for it unless the cost of purchasing the heat pump is going to be reduced considerably. I am not sure why it is so expensive to manufacture anyway. We believe that we will receive grants to install heat pumps and interest free loans in the near future. I think we also need to investigate why it is so expensive. It is not even a new technology as it is already been used extensively in Japan
All tbe best,
Michele